{"id":8092,"date":"2026-05-15T16:33:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T16:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rjbarrett.redirectme.net\/?p=8092"},"modified":"2026-05-15T16:33:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T16:33:00","slug":"%e3%80%8c1870%e5%b9%b4%e4%bb%a3%e4%bb%a5%e6%9d%a5%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7%e3%81%ae%e3%82%a8%e3%83%ab%e3%83%8b%e3%83%bc%e3%83%8b%e3%83%a7%e7%8f%be%e8%b1%a1%e3%80%8d%ef%bc%9a%e3%80%8c%e8%b6%85%e3%80%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rjbarrett.redirectme.net\/?p=8092","title":{"rendered":"\u300c1870\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u300d\uff1a\u300c\u8d85\u300d\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u306f\u4eca\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306b\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6700\u3082\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u4eba\u9053\u7684\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u306f\u81a8\u5927\u306b\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\">\n<p 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\u6c17\u5019\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u306e\u6700\u3082\u6696\u304b\u3044\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u306e\u6c34\u57df\u306e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5909\u5316\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u306b\u904e\u5927\u306a\u8ca0\u8377\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u306e\u6c17\u8c61\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3084\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<aside data-block-type=\"embed\" data-render-type=\"fte\" data-skip=\"dealsy\" data-widget-type=\"seasonal\" class=\"hawk-root\"\/>\n<p id=\"elk-e746b95c-1591-4877-81d5-46d5084e0ee7-2\">\u3055\u3066\u30015\u670814\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u65b0\u3057\u3044ENSO\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u306f\u3001 <u>NOAA<\/u> \u6b21\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u304c 10 \u6708\u304b\u3089\u5f37\u3044\u307e\u305f\u306f\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f37\u3044\u3068\u5206\u985e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f 65% \u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u3044\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306b\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<aside data-component-name=\"Recirculation:ArticleRiver\" data-recirculation-type=\"inline\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Trending Bar\" data-nosnippet=\"\" class=\"clear-both pt-2 pb-0 mb-4\">\n        <span class=\"&#10;            flex&#10;            after:content-[''] after:flex-1 after:ml-4 after:my-[0.7rem] after:border-t after:border-solid after:border-[#333]&#10;            before:content-[''] before:flex-1 before:mr-4 before:my-[0.7rem] before:border-t before:border-solid before:border-[#333]&#10;            font-article-heading pb-0 text-[length:var(--article-river-title--font-size,1em)] uppercase sm:text-[length:var(--article-river-title--font-size,0.875em)] font-normal&#10;        \"><\/p>\n<p>            \u6c17\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093<br \/>\n        <\/span><\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<p id=\"elk-18116be3-4821-4f92-afcb-a672f7385d88\">\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f37\u3044\u300d\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7 &#8211; \u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u83ef\u6c0f 3.6 \u5ea6 (\u6442\u6c0f 2 \u5ea6) \u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u3001\u975e\u516c\u5f0f\u306b\u306f\u300c\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u300d\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u3068\u547c\u3070\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059 &#8211; \u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001 <u>\u6700\u3082\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa<\/u> 10\u6708\u304b\u30892\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3088 <u>\u4eca\u304b\u30897\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306b\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u5230\u6765\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f82%<\/u>\u3053\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u306f 2027 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u304a\u3088\u305d\u3067\u3059\u3002 <u>\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u304c 20% \u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u5897\u52a0<\/u> NOAA \u306e 4 \u6708\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u304c\u3059\u3050\u305d\u3053\u307e\u3067\u6765\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"van-image-figure inline-layout \" data-bordeaux-image-check=\"\" id=\"elk-a749a056-a302-41bd-8d1e-1bc1055c70a4\">\n<div class=\"image-full-width-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"image-widthsetter\" style=\"max-width:3577px;\">\n<p class=\"vanilla-image-block\" style=\"padding-top:58.32%;\"> <picture data-new-v2-image=\"true\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1920-80.png.webp 1920w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1600-80.png.webp 1600w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1280-80.png.webp 1280w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1024-80.png.webp 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-768-80.png.webp 768w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-415-80.png.webp 415w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-360-80.png.webp 360w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-320-80.png.webp 320w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 710px) 670px, calc(100vw - 30px)\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY.png\" alt=\"2026 \u5e74\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306e\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u5f37\u3055\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u793a\u3059\u68d2\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u3002\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1920-80.png 1920w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1600-80.png 1600w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1280-80.png 1280w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-1024-80.png 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-768-80.png 768w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-415-80.png 415w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-360-80.png 360w, https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY-320-80.png 320w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 710px) 670px, calc(100vw - 30px)\" loading=\"lazy\" data-new-v2-image=\"true\" data-original-mos=\"https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY.png\" data-pin-media=\"https:\/\/cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net\/Jx7zjVCZbcBNMsWVRdh9YY.png\" class=\"rounded-[var(--image--border-radius,0)]\"\/>\n<\/picture><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"inline-layout \">\n<div class=\"caption-text\">\n<p>\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306f10\u6708\u304b\u30892\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u300c\u5f37\u3044\u300d\u307e\u305f\u306f\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f37\u3044\u300d\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6700\u3082\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/figcaption><p>(\u753b\u50cf\u63d0\u4f9b: NOAA \u6c17\u5019\u4e88\u6e2c\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc)<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 id=\"a-very-strong-el-nino-could-wreak-havoc-3\">\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f37\u3044\u300d\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306f\u5927\u6df7\u4e71\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b <\/h2>\n<p id=\"elk-0f37278e-ee71-43a8-b761-2e80e7b4bd9a\">\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u306f 2 \uff5e 7 \u5e74\u3054\u3068\u306b\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u306e\u98a8\u3068\u6f6e\u6d41\u306e\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3088\u308a\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u3088\u308a 0.9 \u00b0F (0.5 \u5ea6) \u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306b\u91cd\u5927\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u306f <u>\u3059\u3050\u306b\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30e9\u30eb\u30d5\u30a7\u30fc\u30ba\u304b\u3089\u96e2\u308c\u308b<\/u>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u6700\u3082\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306f 2023 \u5e74 5 \u6708\u304b\u3089 2024 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304d\u30012024 \u5e74\u304c <u>\u8a18\u9332\u4e0a\u6700\u3082\u6691\u3044\u5e74<\/u>\u3002\u6b21\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u304b\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f37\u3044\u5834\u5408\u30012027\u5e74\u306b\u306f\u524d\u56de\u306e\u8a18\u9332\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u540c\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u3002 <u>\u6c17\u5019 \u6c17\u5019\u8a55\u4fa1\u306e\u6982\u8981<\/u>4\u670821\u65e5\u306b\u51fa\u7248\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<div id=\"slice-container-newsletterForm-articleInbodyContent-qx4NvUYYY5K58MWVdtxbzG\" class=\"slice-container newsletter-inbodyContent-slice newsletterForm-articleInbodyContent-qx4NvUYYY5K58MWVdtxbzG slice-container-newsletterForm\">\n<div data-hydrate=\"true\" class=\"newsletter-form__wrapper newsletter-form__wrapper--inbodyContent\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-form__container\">\n<section class=\"newsletter-form__top-bar\"\/>\n<section class=\"newsletter-form__main-section\">\n<p class=\"newsletter-form__strapline\">\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u6700\u3082\u9b45\u529b\u7684\u306a\u767a\u898b\u3092\u3042\u306a\u305f\u306e\u53d7\u4fe1\u7bb1\u306b\u76f4\u63a5\u304a\u5c4a\u3051\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u5b9f\u969b\u3001\u5dee\u3057\u8feb\u3063\u305f\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u306f\u8a18\u9332\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u300c1870\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u4fe1\u983c\u611f\u306f\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u5909\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u540c\u6c0f\u306f\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u3002 <u>\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30e9\u30a6\u30f3\u30c7\u30a3<\/u>\u30aa\u30fc\u30eb\u30d0\u30cb\u30fc\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u5927\u6c17\u74b0\u5883\u79d1\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <u>X 5 \u6708 5 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